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Delta Says Higher Airfares May Stick Around — Here’s What Points Travelers Should Do Now

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delta saying airfare pricing here to stay

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For anyone waiting for airfare to settle back down before booking a trip, Delta’s latest financial update did not offer much encouragement.

The airline reported continued strong travel demand during the second quarter, particularly for premium cabins, while higher fuel expenses continued to pressure its costs. Delta CEO Ed Bastian said the airline had passed only part of those additional costs along to customers so far, suggesting elevated ticket prices may not disappear quickly.

That does not mean every flight is about to become more expensive, and one airline’s results do not determine the entire market. But it does reinforce something points-and-miles travelers have already been seeing: good cash fares are less predictable, premium cabins remain popular, and waiting indefinitely for prices to drop can be its own expensive strategy.

Quick Take: Higher airfare can make points more useful, but it does not automatically make every award a good redemption. Compare the full cash price against the complete award cost, including taxes, surcharges, transfer bonuses, positioning flights, and the points you would earn by paying cash.

What Delta’s Results Tell Us

Delta reported record quarterly revenue, with premium-cabin revenue increasing faster than main-cabin revenue. At the same time, its fuel expenses rose sharply and profit declined from the prior year.

The important part for travelers is not Delta’s stock performance or quarterly earnings-per-share figure. It is the combination of strong demand and increased operating costs.

Airlines generally have less reason to discount aggressively when customers continue buying seats at higher prices. That appears especially true for premium cabins, where demand has remained resilient.

Published reports also quoted Delta management as saying fares remained materially higher than a year earlier and that the airline had not yet recovered all of its increased fuel expense through ticket pricing.

That does not guarantee fares will rise on your specific route. Prices can still fall because of competition, weak demand on an individual flight, schedule changes, new service, or a traditional fare sale. It does, however, make it risky to assume that every expensive itinerary will become cheaper simply because you wait longer.

Higher Cash Prices Can Improve Award Value — Sometimes

When a $400 ticket increases to $600 but the award remains 25,000 miles, the value of using miles improves considerably.

You can learn more about how to determining your cents-per-point valuation by reading What Are Your Points and Miles Actually Worth, but the basic calculation is below:

Cash price minus award taxes and fees, divided by the number of points required.

For example, assume a ticket costs $600 or 25,000 miles plus $11.20 in taxes:

($600 - $11.20) ÷ 25,000 = approximately 2.36 cents per mile.

That may be an excellent redemption, depending on the type of points involved and what other uses you have available.

But there are several reasons not to stop at that number.

  • A paid ticket may earn redeemable miles or elite-status credit.
  • An award may have substantial carrier-imposed surcharges.
  • You may need a separate positioning flight to use the award.
  • The award could require a speculative points transfer.
  • A cheaper cash itinerary may offer better times or fewer connections.
  • Using transferable points now means they are unavailable for a potentially better redemption later.

Higher airfare makes points more important, but it also makes careful comparison more important.

Do Not Transfer Points Until the Award Is Ready to Book

When cash fares rise, it is tempting to transfer points as soon as an airline or hotel program announces a bonus. That can be a costly mistake.

Most transfers are one-way. Once flexible bank points have moved into an airline program, they generally cannot be returned.

Before transferring, confirm:

  • The award seat is actually available.
  • The price appears for the number of travelers you need.
  • The operating airline and cabin are correct.
  • The taxes and surcharges are acceptable.
  • The transfer ratio and bonus are still active.
  • The expected transfer time will not jeopardize the booking.
You can use the thePointsPage Transfer Bonus Calculator to determine how many flexible points you need to move after accounting for a promotional bonus.

Compare Points and Cash Earlier in the Process

One of the most common award-travel mistakes is deciding in advance that a trip must be booked entirely with points.

Start by checking both options.

A reasonable planning process is:

  1. Search the cash fare for your preferred dates.
  2. Check nearby dates and alternate airports.
  3. Search relevant airline programs for award space.
  4. Price the entire trip, not just the longest flight.
  5. Compare cancellation rules and change flexibility.
  6. Then decide whether cash, points, or a combination works best.
The Award Trip Planning Checklist can help organize those pieces before you commit points or pay for nonrefundable arrangements.

Flexible Travelers Still Have the Advantage

Even in an expensive airfare environment, flexibility remains one of the most valuable currencies in travel.

Travelers who can adjust by a day or two, depart from a second airport, accept a connection, or return from a nearby city often have far more options than travelers locked into one exact itinerary.

This matters even more for premium-cabin awards. A flight may have no reasonably priced business-class availability on Friday, but several saver-level seats on Thursday or Saturday.

Before assuming an award is unavailable, try:

  • Searching one passenger at a time.
  • Checking each flight segment separately.
  • Looking at nearby international gateways.
  • Searching the return direction independently.
  • Comparing partner programs that can book the same flight.
  • Setting alerts when your preferred cabin is unavailable.
If the search becomes too complicated, the thePointsPage Award Booking Service can help evaluate routes, transfer partners, award availability, and the tradeoff between using cash and points.

Protect the Parts of the Trip That Points Do Not Cover

Booking flights with miles does not eliminate the other financial risks surrounding a trip.

Hotels, cruises, tours, positioning flights, rental cars, event tickets, and other prepaid arrangements may still be nonrefundable. Award tickets may also involve redeposit fees, taxes, or other expenses that are not covered simply because the flight itself was booked with points.

Travel insurance coverage varies significantly by policy and by how the trip was paid for. Before relying on a credit card benefit or purchasing a separate plan, review what expenses are actually insurable and which events are covered.

The Travel Insurance Fit Check can help identify what kind of coverage may be worth reviewing for a particular trip.

Getting to the Point(s)

Delta’s results do not mean every ticket should be booked immediately or that airfare can only move higher. Airline pricing is far too dynamic for that kind of blanket conclusion.

What the update does show is that airlines are still seeing strong demand even while operating costs remain elevated. Waiting for a dramatic market-wide fare collapse may not be a reliable plan.

The better approach is to begin comparing cash and award options early, monitor both, and know your acceptable booking price before availability tightens.

When cash fares are high, points can deliver tremendous value. Just make sure the redemption is genuinely good—not merely better than an unusually expensive ticket.

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Deals like this can change fast, disappear faster, and occasionally come back from the dead just to confuse everyone. Join thePointsPage Community on Facebook so you can see these updates while they’re still fresh.

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